Fx BBQ: Usd/Jpy L/T Trendlines

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Usd/Jpy L/T Trendlines

DollarYen 118 soon to be a distant memory..

25 year trendline from 1982 referenced to 1/02 taken out on 7/05 down @112
17 year trendline from 1989 refrenced to 7/98 currently @130
17 year trendline from 1989 refrenced to 1/02 currently @125

click to enlarge the art of the Lines:

Labels: Usd/Jpy

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Trading is not an exact science contrary to the popular belief of most new or inexperience traders.. In trading, we must allow for some margin of errors within our defined risk & trading time frame.. allowing for this margin of error under the constraint of trading in micro time frames with stops & profit targets all inside a small fluctuating market noise band in hope of achieving consistent profits over time is very difficult, if not impossible.. as whenever we are right, we are only small right within the confine of the small P/L band which limit our odds to playing for break even at best over time.. Trading longer time frames allows for a wider margin of error but at the expenses of increased risk.. however, the odds of being right & achieving consistent profits over time are enhanced when good market analytics & trade management strategies are applied under the proper market bias.. When we are right, we need to ensure that we are bigger right over an expanded profit band inorder to compensate for those times when we are wrong..

Fx BBQ

Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Usd/Jpy L/T Trendlines

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